Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2.386821e-05 0.000029 0.000034 0.000040 0.000046 0.000054 0.000062
2025-06-08 1.789225e-05 0.000024 0.000031 0.000039 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075
2025-06-15 1.400225e-05 0.000020 0.000028 0.000039 0.000052 0.000067 0.000086
2025-06-22 1.091199e-05 0.000017 0.000026 0.000038 0.000053 0.000071 0.000094
2025-06-29 8.342700e-06 0.000015 0.000023 0.000036 0.000052 0.000073 0.000100
2025-07-06 6.246702e-06 0.000012 0.000021 0.000033 0.000051 0.000074 0.000105
2025-07-13 4.959299e-06 0.000011 0.000019 0.000033 0.000052 0.000077 0.000111
2025-07-20 4.079871e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000032 0.000053 0.000080 0.000119
2025-07-27 3.450522e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000033 0.000055 0.000085 0.000128
2025-08-03 3.286439e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000035 0.000059 0.000094 0.000143
2025-08-10 2.702949e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000034 0.000060 0.000097 0.000150
2025-08-17 1.996407e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000032 0.000059 0.000097 0.000152
2025-08-24 1.430336e-06 0.000006 0.000014 0.000031 0.000059 0.000099 0.000159
2025-08-31 1.072614e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000031 0.000060 0.000103 0.000169
2025-09-07 7.878810e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000030 0.000061 0.000108 0.000179
2025-09-14 5.340012e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000029 0.000061 0.000110 0.000186
2025-09-21 3.257825e-07 0.000003 0.000010 0.000028 0.000060 0.000111 0.000191
2025-09-28 1.761284e-07 0.000002 0.000009 0.000026 0.000058 0.000110 0.000194
2025-10-05 1.037744e-07 0.000002 0.000008 0.000025 0.000058 0.000112 0.000201
2025-10-12 6.384104e-08 0.000002 0.000008 0.000025 0.000059 0.000116 0.000210
2025-10-19 4.057752e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000025 0.000061 0.000121 0.000222
2025-10-26 3.744505e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000027 0.000066 0.000132 0.000241
2025-11-02 1.969902e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000027 0.000066 0.000135 0.000250